Stock market news

Markets react calmly in the face of political violence this weekend: Political uncertainty in the U.S. escalated over the weekend as markets digested and assessed the horrific events at Saturday's presidential rally. The equity markets for the most part remained calm after the jarring events of the weekend, with major U.S. and Canadian stock markets closing modestly higher on Monday. The Dow Jones outperformed the S&P 500 and technology-heavy Nasdaq. Risk appetite broadly appears firm, with the U.S. dollar flat to higher against major currencies, and crypto assets, including bitcoin, trading notably higher*. Markets also digested news on Monday afternoon that President Trump has selected Ohio Senator J.D. Vance to be his vice-presidential running mate. Vance is 39 and is considered a rising star of the Republican party. In recent days, the betting markets have pointed to an increased probability of a President Trump victory. According to Predictit, the odds of Trump winning the presidential election this year jumped by six points over the weekend, and an additional three points today, now close to 69%*. From a market perspective, President Trump's policies have pointed to lower taxes, deregulation and perhaps an increase in tariffs, and while investors have generally welcomed the pro-growth stance, some risk of inflation may also emerge under these policies.

^{Source: *Bloomberg}

Even with a holiday-shortened week, markets digested a slew of economic data that pointed in a similar direction: The U.S. and Canadian economies seems to be softening, albeit from a period of outsized strength in the post-pandemic years. Meanwhile, inflation appears poised to resume a gradual path of cooling as well.

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